08:14:54
英国 United Kingdom
2025年1月,英国GfK消费者信心指数下降5点,至-22,为2023年11月以来的最低水平。这一下降表明人们对经济放缓的担忧日益加剧。1月份的数字也大大低于-18的预测,反映了自2011年以来12月至1月的最大月度跌幅。受经济预期疲软的推动,调查的所有五个组成部分都有所下降。此外,GfK储蓄指数的上升——尽管不是整体消费者信心指数的一部分——表明家庭更加谨慎。信心的下降也突显了政府决定提高企业税收以资助投资和公共服务的影响。这种疲软的情绪支持了英格兰银行的温和前景,市场预期现在倾向于在2月份降息。
The GfK Consumer Confidence Index in the United Kingdom dropped by 5 points to -22 in January 2025, marking its lowest level since November 2023. This decline signals growing concerns over an economic slowdown. January's figure also significantly missed forecasts of -18, and reflected the sharpest monthly drop between December and January since 2011. All five components of the survey saw a decrease, driven by softening economic expectations. In addition, a rise in GfK’s savings index—although not part of the overall consumer confidence index—pointed to increased caution among households. The drop in confidence also highlights the impact of the government’s decision to raise taxes on businesses to fund investment and public services. This weakened sentiment supports a dovish outlook for the Bank of England, with market expectations now leaning toward an interest rate cut in February.