2024年第四季度,法国经济收缩0.1%,证实了初步估计,扭转了第三季度0.4%的扩张。这是自2023年第一季度以来的首次收缩,部分原因是巴黎奥运会和残奥会带来的经济增长后,奥运会后经济放缓。家庭消费增长放缓(第三季度为+0.3%对+0.6%),因为服务消费下降(-0.1%对+0.8%),而商品消费增长速度较慢(+0.2%对+0.4%)。与此同时,固定投资继续下降(-0.1%对-0.7%),主要原因是建筑投资大幅下降。净贸易对GDP的影响是中性的,出口和进口都增长了0.4%。库存变化拖累了增长,减少了0.3个百分点(第三季度为+0.3个百分点)。按年度计算,经济增长0.6%,略低于0.7%的初步估计,这是自2020年第四季度收缩以来最慢的增长。全年GDP增长1.1%,与2023年持平。
The French economy contracted 0.1% in Q4 2024, confirming preliminary estimates and reversing a 0.4% expansion in Q3. This marks the first contraction since Q1 2023, partly due to the post-Olympics slowdown following the economic boost from the Paris Olympic and Paralympic Games. Household consumption growth slowed (+0.3% vs. +0.6% in Q3), as service consumption declined (-0.1% vs. +0.8%) while goods consumption rose at a weaker pace (+0.2% vs. +0.4%). Meanwhile, fixed investment continued to decline (-0.1% vs. -0.7%), led by a sharper drop in construction investment. Net trade had a neutral impact on GDP, with exports and imports both rising 0.4%. Inventory changes weighed on growth, subtracting 0.3 percentage points (vs. a +0.3-point contribution in Q3). On an annual basis, the economy expanded 0.6%, slightly below the flash estimate of 0.7%, marking the slowest growth since the Q4 2020 contraction. For the full year, GDP grew 1.1%, matching 2023's pace.