2024年10月,中国的年通货膨胀率为0.3%,而市场估计和9月份的数字为0.4%。这标志着消费者通胀连续第九个月出现,但这是自6月以来的最低水平,突显出尽管北京在9月底采取了刺激措施来支持经济放缓,但通货紧缩风险仍在上升。非食品价格继续下跌(9月份为-0.3%对-0.2%),主要原因是运输成本(-4.8%对-4.1%)和住房成本(-0.1%对-0.1%)进一步下降。相反,医疗保健(1.1%对1.2%)和教育(0.8%对0.6%)的价格上涨。在食品方面,价格在9月份经历了20个月来的最大涨幅(2.9%对3.3%)后有所放缓。核心消费者价格(不包括食品和能源)同比上涨0.2%,9月份为2021年2月以来最低涨幅0.1%。CPI在9月份持平后,每月下跌0.3%,超过了0.1%的普遍跌幅。
China’s annual inflation rate stood at 0.3% in October 2024, compared with market estimates and September’s figure of 0.4%. This marked the ninth straight month of consumer inflation, but it was the lowest reading since June, underscoring rising deflation risks despite Beijing’s stimulus measures in late September to support the slowing economy. Non-food prices continued to decline (-0.3% vs -0.2% in September), largely driven by further drops in the cost of transport (-4.8% vs -4.1%) and housing (-0.1% vs -0.1%). Conversely, prices increased for healthcare (1.1% vs. 1.2%) and education (0.8% vs 0.6%). On the food side, prices moderated after experiencing their sharpest rise in 20 months in September (2.9% vs 3.3%). Core consumer prices, excluding food and energy, rose 0.2% yoy after the smallest increase since February 2021 of 0.1% in September. Monthly, the CPI fell by 0.3%, exceeding the consensus of a 0.1% decline, following a flat reading in September.