澳元上涨至0.678美元左右,乐观的就业数据表明经济仍然强劲,这给了澳大利亚储备银行保持政策的空间。数据显示,8月份澳大利亚就业人数增加了47.55人,远高于预测的25000人。与此同时,失业率保持在两年半以来的最高点4.2%。市场目前认为,澳大利亚储备银行至少要到12月才会降息,一些经济学家预计,第一次降息最晚将在2025年第二季度。然而,美国大幅降息可能会增加澳大利亚储备银行提前放松政策的可能性。美联储大幅降息0.5个百分点,以启动其宽松周期,这是自新冠肺炎疫情早期以来的首次降息。
The Australian dollar rose to around $0.678 as upbeat jobs data suggested the economy remains strong, giving the Reserve Bank of Australia room to hold policy. Data showed that Australian employment increased by 47,55 in August, way above forecasts of 25,000. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate stayed at a two-and-a-half year high of 4.2%. Markets currently do not see the RBA cutting interest rates until at least December, with some economists expecting the first move to come as late as the second quarter of 2025. However, an aggressive US rate cut will likely add to the chance of an earlier easing from the RBA. The US Federal Reserve delivered an outsized half percentage point interest rate cut to start its easing cycle, the first rate reduction since the early days of the Covid pandemic.